NO.PZ201601050100001203
问题如下:
Recommend the trading strategy C&M should implement. Justify your
response.
选项:
解释:
Given C&M’s research conclusion and the IPS constraints, the currency team
should under-hedge Bhatt’s portfolio by selling the US dollar forward against
the Indian rupee in a forward contract (or contracts) at no less than a 75%
hedge ratio of the portfolio’s USD10,000,000 market value. By under-hedging
the portfolio relative to the “neutral” (100% hedge ratio) benchmark, the team
seeks to add incremental value on the basis of its view that the US dollar will
appreciate against the Indian rupee while maintaining compliance with the IPS.
Since the Indian rupee is assumed to depreciate against the US dollar, a 100%
hedge ratio would largely eliminate any alpha opportunity. However, a hedge
ratio greater than 75% but less than 100% (as dictated by the plus or minus 25%
versus neutral IPS constraint) provides the opportunity to capture currency
return in the expected US dollar appreciation against the Indian rupee.
中文解析:
本题中本来担心美元贬值的,应该完全hedge。
但现在预期美元升值,是对我们有利的,因此就可以降低hedge比例的情况了,而可以降低到的最低点就是在100%hedge的基础上下降25%,就是75%。
1.美元升值(对应印度币贬值),如果用carry trade,不是也可以通过签forward锁定印度币汇率吗?老师课上说可以用CIRP,来执行carry trade
2.另外,请问题目中两国利率差和通胀差保持稳定,怎么和答案联系起来?