NO.PZ201511190100000203
问题如下：
Discuss how Gerber displayed conservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reading.
选项：
解释：
Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseverance bias in which people maintain their prior views or forecasts by inadequately incorporating new information. This cognitive error has aspects of both statistical and information-processing errors. Gerber displayed conservatism bias by maintaining his prior views on ABC without adequately incorporating new information. There are several examples of new information that was either ignored or inadequately considered:
• the delays in initiation of Phase Two trials;
• the discouraging results from Phase One;
• the cautionary language from the CEO; and
• the chief scientist’s statement indicating that there were “major obstacles to overcome.”
Gerber disregarded all the negative news and cautionary language that was released by ABC. Gerber failed to incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABC. The impact was a loss to the foundation, which could have been reduced had Gerber incorporated the information into his analysis and adjusted the foundation’s holdings of ABC.
conservatism bias is that people tend to maintain their prior views when presented new information.
Gerber displayed conservatism bias:
1.Gerber believes that the research setbacks are temporary even if Project M has delayed its Phase Two trials durg.
2.Published results from Phase One trials have raised some concerns regarding the drug
3.and In its last two quarterly investors’ conference calls, ABC’s CEO was very cautious in discussing expectations for Project M
4.and ABC’s stock price decreased by over 20 percent during the past six months.
1.请问如果是这样回答的话，可以得到多少分额
2.因为英文水平又有限，感觉如果用自己的话再总结一次会比较花时间，所以例子的部分都是直接复制的原文，这样可不可以啊
3.如果题干说写3点，因为不太清楚多写了几点，如果我第一点错了，二三四点对了，可以得分吗，或者前三点写对了，第四点错了的话，会扣分吗
