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小枕头 · 2018年03月27日

问一道题:NO.PZ201512300100000303 第3小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:

我想问下原题中有句话叫the geometric mean return relative to 10-year government bond returns over 10 years is 2 percent per year.这句话我读了二十多遍都没明白什么意思 捂脸……您能给我解释下吗?而且这道题的文风感觉很奇怪 考点也都很奇怪

1 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2018年03月28日

求解这题的正确思路应该是:

re=rf+beta(rm-rf)

1、当前利率曲线是inverted,说明短期利率大于长期利率,因此公式第一项rf较大

2、rm-rf用历史ERP,历史上利率曲线是normal形态-upward sloping(短期小于长期),因此rm-rf较大

综上,用当前rf和历史ERP,会高估re。

加油。

sherry_lee · 2019年04月17日

没有回答问题啊

maggie_品职助教 · 2019年04月17日

这句话说得就是ERP的公式=RM-RF=2%

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