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little_back · 2022年05月14日

不明白B选项哪里说的是covered irp

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NO.PZ202112010200000704

问题如下:

Which of the following statements best describes the forward rate bias?

选项:

A.

Investors tend to favor fixed-income investments in currencies that trade at a premium on a forward basis.

B.

Investors tend to hedge fixed-income investments in higher-yielding currencies given the potential for lower returns due to currency depreciation.

C.

Investors tend to favor unhedged fixed-income investments in higher-yielding currencies that are sometimes enhanced by borrowing in lower-yielding currencies.

解释:

C is correct.

Forward rate bias is defined as an observed divergence from interest rate parity conditions under which active investors seek to benefit by borrowing in a lower-yield currency and investing in a higher-yield currency.

A is incorrect since lower-yielding currencies trade at a forward premium. B is incorrect due to covered interest rate parity; fully hedged foreign currency fixed-income investments will tend to yield the domestic risk-free rate.

B:Investors tend to hedge fixed-income investments in higher-yielding currencies given the potential for lower returns due to currency depreciation

这句话翻译之后的意思:投资者倾向hedge高利率国的currency risk ,因为他们认为高利率国汇率会贬值。

哪里有问题?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2022年05月14日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


B选项本身没问题,但是它描述的不是forward rate bias

说一下什么是forward rate bias。

根据covered interest parity,对于A、B两种货币的债券,A代表高利率国家,B代表低利率国家,汇率表达形式用B/A的形式。那么有F/S=(1+rB)/(1+rA)①。S代表即期汇率,F代表forward currency rate。covered interest parity的现实意义是,如果跨国投资,用forward currency rate来Hedge 汇率风险,那么跨国投资的收益RDC(RDC=(1+rA)(1+RFX)-1,RFX=F/S-1)与在本国投资的收益rB是一样的。

对于uncovered interest parity,对于A、B两种货币的债券,A代表高利率国家,B代表低利率国家,汇率表达形式用B/A的形式,那么有E(S)/S=(1+rB)/(1+rA)②。S代表即期汇率,E(S)代表对未来即期汇率的预期。现实意义长期来看,如果uncovered interest parity成立,根据①与②,F=E(S),我们说,forward currency rate是future spot currency rate的unbiased predictor。

forward rate bias指的是上述公式的F≠E(S),也就是uncovered interest parity不成立。此时,根据E(S)/S≠(1+rB)/(1+rA),可以进行carry trade的,也就是从低利率(B)国家借钱,换成高利率(A)货币,跑到高利率国家投资,到期再换回低利率货币。

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little_back · 2022年05月14日

是不是因为B hedge了,所以不存在forward rate bias,而C因为未hedge 且做了carry trade,存在forward rate bias

pzqa015 · 2022年05月14日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


可以这样认为

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