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一只可爱的猪 · 2022年04月15日

为什么这个题目不限C

NO.PZ2018120301000037

问题如下:

Schuylkill and Chaopraya now discuss Option 2. Chaopraya estimates the present value of the four future cash flows as $230,372, with a money duration of $2,609,700 and convexity of 135.142. She considers three possible portfolios to immunize the future payments, as presented in Exhibit 2.


Determine the most appropriate immunization portfolio in Exhibit 2. Justify your decision.

选项:

解释:

Answer:

Justification:

Portfolio 2 is the most appropriate immunization portfolio because it is the only one that satisfies the following two criteria for immunizing a portfolio of multiple future outflows:

  • Money Duration: Money durations of all three possible immunizing portfolios match or closely match the money duration of the outflow portfolio. Matching money durations is useful because the market values and cash flow yields of the immunizing portfolio and the outflow portfolio are not necessarily equal.
  • Convexity: Given that the money duration requirement is met by all three possible immunizing portfolios, the portfolio with the lowest convexity that is above the outflow portfolio’s convexity of 135.142 should be selected. The dispersion, as measured by convexity, of the immunizing portfolio should be as low as possible subject to being greater than or equal to the dispersion of the outflow portfolio. This will minimize the effect of non-parallel shifts in the yield curve. Portfolio 3’s convexity of 132.865 is less than the outflow portfolio’s convexity, so Portfolio 3 is not appropriate. Both Portfolio 1 and Portfolio 2 have convexities that exceed the convexity of the outflow portfolio, but Portfolio 2’s convexity of 139.851 is lower than Portfolio 1’s convexity of 147.640. Therefore, Portfolio 2 is the most appropriate immunizing portfolio.

The immunizing portfolio needs to be greater than the convexity (and dispersion) of the outflow portfolio. But, the convexity of the immunizing portfolio should be minimized in order to minimize dispersion and reduce structural risk

为什么不选C

2 个答案

pzqa015 · 2022年04月17日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


P2的money duration是2609442,liability的money duration是2609700,虽p2的money duration比liability的money duration小258。对于一个百万级别的数字来说,相差几百是可以忽略的,也就是说,对于2600000这个级别的moeny duration来说,相差258是可以忽略不计的,所以,这里认为二者是近似相等的。实务中,也很难做到资产与负债的money duration完全相等,只要近似即可,但是,对于二者相差多少算是近似相等,相差多少就不相等,并没有一个定量的阈值,如果考试想考察第二个免疫条件,对于不符合资产与负债money duration相等的portfolio,money duration肯定会与负债money duration相差很多,而不像本题这样相差万分之一。

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pzqa015 · 2022年04月15日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


portfolio 3的convexity为132.865,小于liability的convexity135.142,不满足免疫的第三个条件,所以不能选。

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