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ruby5ltc · 2022年03月31日

基期消费篮子难道不是base period吗?为什么是constant?

NO.PZ2017100901000024

问题如下:

The following presents selected commodity price data for July–August 2015:

Given the consumption basket and prices presented, which type of price index will result in the highest calculated inflation rate over a two-month time period?

选项:

A.

One that uses a current consumption basket

B.

One that uses a constant consumption basket

C.

One reflecting substitutions made by consumers over time

解释:

B is correct.

The inflation rate calculated by using a constant consumption basket (the Laspeyres index) is 10%, derived as follows:

July 2015 consumption basket = (18 × €1) + (6 × €2) = €30

August 2015 consumption basket = (18 × €1) + (6 × €2.5) = €33

Value of the Laspeyres index (IL) = (€33/€30) × 100 = €110 Inflation rate = (110/100) – 1 = 0.10 = 10%

The inflation rate calculated using a current consumption basket (the Paasche index) is 8%, derived as follows:

July 2015 consumption basket = (17 × €1) + (4 × €2) = €25

August 2015 consumption basket = (17 × €1) + (4 × €2.5) = €27

Value of the Paasche index (IP) = (€27/€25) × 100 = €108

Inflation rate = (108/100) – 1 = 0.08 = 8%

The inflation rate calculated by "chaining" the monthly prices of consumption baskets as they change over time (the Fisher index) is derived as follows: Value of the Fisher index = (Ip*IL)^0.5

Value of the Fisher Index =(110*108)^0.5=108.99

Inflation rate = (108.99/100) – 1 = 0.0899 = 8.99%

考点:拉式指数法

解析:在拉氏指数法下,应该是用基期的消费篮子:

7月物价水平:(18 × € 1) + (6 × € 2) = € 30

8月物价水平:(18 × € 1) + (6 × € 2.5) = € 33

通胀指数:Inflation rate=(33/30)-1=10%

在沠许指数法下,应该是用当期的消费篮子:

7月的物价水平:(17 × € 1) + (4 × € 2) = € 25

8月的物价水平:(17 × € 1) + (4 × € 2.5) = € 27

通胀指数:(27/25)-1=8%

费雪指数:(110*108)^0.5= € 108.99

通胀指数:(108.99/100) – 1 = 0.0899 = 8.99%

由此可见B选项正确。

基期消费篮子难道不是base period吗?为什么是constant?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年04月01日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


基期消费篮子难道不是base period吗?为什么是constant?

基期消费篮子是base period,正确。

constant consumption basket是个术语,字面意思是,恒定的消费篮子,意思是,current period使用base period的消费篮子,而不是current period的消费篮子。


在本题中,也就是这段解析


在拉氏指数法下,应该是用基期的消费篮子:

7月物价水平:(18 × € 1) + (6 × € 2) = € 30

8月物价水平:(18 × € 1) + (6 × € 2.5) = € 33

通胀指数:Inflation rate=(33/30)-1=10%


7月份是基期,消费篮子,牛奶18个,橘子6个。这就是base period的消费篮子。

那么8月份,牛奶消费17个,橘子消费4个。这是current period的消费篮子。

可以看出,这两个消费篮子是不同的。

在计算通胀率时,计算8月物价水平,用哪个消费篮子呢,如果有constant consumption basket出现,那么就明确了,用7月的消费篮子,牛奶按照18个来算,橘子按照6个来算。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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