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jacqie · 2021年12月31日

No.PZ2020010303000012 (问答题)

No.PZ2020010303000012 (问答题)

来源: 原版书

The monthly return on a hedge fund portfolio with USD 1 billion in assets is N(.02, .0003). What is the distribution of the gain in a month?

b. What would the line of credit need to be to ensure that the firm’s loss was less than the line of credit in 99.9% of months (or equivalently, larger than the LOC in 0.1% of months)?


b. Here we work in the other direction. First, we find the quantile where Pr(Z < z) = 99.9%, which gives z = -3.09. This is then scaled to the distribution of the change in the value of the portfolio by multiply-ing by the standard deviation and adding the mean, 17.3 * -3.09 + 20 = -33.46. The fund would need a line of credit of USD 33.46 million to have a 99.9% change of having a change above this level.


Pr(Z < z) = 99.9%,为什么z = -3.09,不是3.09?

1 个答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2021年12月31日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好,因为b这道题问的是关于loss的信息,也就是负的收益率,关注的是正态分布左侧负数的区域,所以z值选用的是负数。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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