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smiledog · 2021年03月24日

这道题会了问个题外话

NO.PZ2019103001000042

问题如下:

McLaughlin and Michaela Donaldson, a junior analyst at Delphi, are now discussing how to reposition the portfolio in light of McLaughlin’s expectations about interest rates over the next 12 months. She expects interest rate volatility to be high and the yield curve to experience an increase in the 2s/10s/30s butterfly spread, with the 30-year yield remaining unchanged. Selected yields on the Treasury yield curve, and McLaughlin’s expected changes in yields over the next 12 months, are presented in Exhibit 1.

Donaldson suggests they also consider altering the portfolio’s convexity to enhance expected return given McLaughlin’s interest rate expectations. Donaldson tells McLaughlin the following.

Statement 1 Portfolios with larger convexities often have higher yields.

Statement 2 If yields rise, a portfolio of a given duration with higher convexity will experience less of a price decrease than a similar-duration, lower-convexity portfolio.

Which of Donaldson’s statements is correct?

选项:

A.

Only Statement 1

B.

Only Statement 2

C.

Both Statements 1 and 2

解释:

B is correct.

Statement 2 is correct: If yields rise, a portfolio of a given duration with higher convexity will experience less of a price decrease than a similar-duration, lower-convexity portfolio.

Statement 1 is incorrect, as portfolios with larger convexities often have lower yields. Investors will be willing to pay for increased convexity when they expect yields to change by more than enough to cover the sacrifice in yield.

请问老师,忽然有点迷茫:

投资者买债券的目的,到底是为了稳定现金流流入和收益率YTM,还是为了中间卖出可以实现capital gain?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2021年03月25日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


投资者买债券的目的,到底是为了稳定现金流流入和收益率YTM,还是为了中间卖出可以实现capital gain?


都可以的。具体看题目描述,或者投资者需求。


相比股票和其他另类投资,债券投资的一个优势就是现金流稳定可预期,所以有很多投资者是看中了稳定的现金流,我们可以用他来做现金流管理,例如对标到我们3级的策略:Cash flow matching;


也是因为债券现金流稳定,可以有一个较为稳定的YTM,利用他风险可以抵消的特性,咱们可以做Immunization,所以有人用债券做Duration matching,这也是咱们3级学到的策略。


当然,债券有非常明确的利率风险,就是Duration与Convexity,这是一个稳定的风险指标与收益来源,当投资者预期未来利率大幅下降时,可以买入Duration大的债券,直接获取Capital gain。这是3级volatile interest rate情景下,Duration management的策略。


现金流、收益率YTM较为稳定、风险指标相对稳定可衡量都是债券的优势。所以投资目的多样,具体看情况。而且不同的投资目的,也对应咱们学的不同的策略。每一个策略其实都多多少少利用了债券的某一些特征。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!