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次第花开 · 2020年07月30日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019103001000088

问题如下:

Wang made the following statements about the advantages and disadvantages of the top-down and bottom-up approach

Statement 1: One advantage of the bottom-up approach is that it is easier to gain an informational advantage in individual companies or bonds rather than the overall market.

Statement 2: Another advantage of the bottom-up approach is that it can be easy to earn substantial returns from bottom-up security selection without exposing the portfolio to macro factors.

Statement 3: One advantage of the top-down approach is that sizable portion of credit returns can be attributed to macro factors.

选项:

A.

Statement 1 and statement 3 are correct.

B.

Statement 1 and statement 2 are correct.

C.

Statement 2 and statement 3 are correct

解释:

答案:A is correct.

考点:Top-down, bottom-up方法的优缺点对比

解析:Statement 1和Statement 3正确,为原版书原句。

Statement 2错误,正确的应该为:即便用Bottom-up的方法选择出了合适的个股,Credit returns中很大一部分仍可以归因于Marco factors,Statement 2中,easy to earn a substantial return without exposure to macro factors错误;

原版书原句为:

Because a sizable portion of credit returns can be attributed to macro factors, it can be difficult to earn substantial returns from bottom-up security selection without exposing the portfolio to macro factors.

老师,您好!解答中提到 “Because a sizable portion of credit returns can be attributed to macro factors, it can be difficult to earn substantial returns from bottom-up security selection without exposing the portfolio to macro factors.”。这个意思是说 bottom-up也剥离不了macro factor的影响么?但是讲excess return的时候,不是说hedge了interest rate risk,只是保留credit risk的敞口。bottom-up是基于excess return的话,不应该剥离了macro factor的影响么

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已采纳答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2020年07月30日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


“这个意思是说 bottom-up也剥离不了macro factor的影响么?”


他这里是说我们通过Bottom-up的方法想获得债券的“Credit returns”,但实际上“Credit returns”并不全是归因于“个股风险”,里有很大的一部分要归因于Macro factors,并不是完全割裂开的。

如果彻底剥离掉这部分Macro exposure,那获得的“Credit returns”其实就不够理想。

所以我们想通过Bottom-up的方法获得足额的“Credit returns”,就必须要获得一些Exposure to macro factors;

如果要彻底剥离的话、并且可以剥离的话,without exposure to Macro factors,获得的“Credit returns”是比较少的。所谓的“Credit returns”其实有很大一部分是来自“Macro factors”。



“但是讲excess return的时候,不是说hedge了interest rate risk,只是保留credit risk的敞口。bottom-up是基于excess return的话,不应该剥离了macro factor的影响么”


是的。用国债或者国债衍生品Hedge掉Interest rate risk之后,我们投资公司债是隔离了Macro exposure里面的基准利率影响。

但是仍然保留了Macro exposure里其他的Factors,还有其他的因子没有隔离,比如说Economic cycles,Economic cycles就会影响到行业的Credit spread;又例如用国债没法隔离开行业的特定风险。

所以可以理解成,我们用国债Hedge interest rate risk,只剥离了基准利率的影响;仍然存在其他的Macro factors,例如行业周期等,这部分也包括在了债券的Credit risk里了。


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