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mino酱是个小破货 · 2019年11月06日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000057

问题如下:

 If the emerging market country used capital controls instead, this approach would:

选项:

A.

lead to a less independent monetary policy 

B.

be more likely to succeed when capital flows are less persistent 

C.

require that the ratio of foreign exchange reserves to FX market turnover be high 

解释:

Although the empirical evidence is mixed, to a large extent the relativesuccess of capital controls depends on the magnitude and persistence of the capitalinflows that the policymakers are trying to resist (the less persistent, the higher theeffectiveness). A successful capital control policy tends to increase, not decrease,monetary policy independence. As a regulatory measure, capital controls do not dependdirectly on the level of foreign exchange reserves.

解析:尽管经验证据好坏参半,但在很大程度上,资本管控的有效力取决于政策制定者试图抵御的资本流入的规模和持续性(持续性越弱,有效性越高)。所以B选项正确。

一个成功的资本管控政策倾向于增加而不是减少货币政策的独立性。所以A选项错误。

作为一项监管措施,资本管制并不直接取决于外汇储备水平。所以C选项错误。


就A项,我国扩张货币政策,央行释放流动性,公开市场买债券,利率下跌,外币贬值。由于资本控制,那么是限制流入吗还是干预。若是干预的,按理来说我国货币贬值,抛外币,买本币,这不就紧缩吗?请具体解释下,这题考点。应该是削弱货币政策。谢谢

2 个答案
已采纳答案

源_品职助教 · 2019年11月07日

我国扩张货币政策,央行释放流动性,公开市场买债券,利率下跌代表投资回报下跌,所以资本出逃,外币升值而不是贬值。所以你后续推理就不成立了。

不过是因为货币贬值还是升值而使用货币政策,这都是货币政策不独立的体现,因为从本质而言,货币政策的调节应该服务于经济发展,依据经济冷暖调节,而非受制于外汇市场。

 

mino酱是个小破货 · 2019年11月07日

那就外币升值本币贬值,那抛外币买本币,相对而言紧缩。这个是固定汇率制。所以我假设错误。资本管控是限制流入流出。所以我国可以相对稳定货币政策和汇率制。这个我理解了。那么老师,C项,作为发展中国家要实现管制,我们不需要相对稳定且充裕外汇储备吗?这个是我理解的c项,但不知道是否错误?麻烦您详细解释一下,谢谢

源_品职助教 · 2019年11月08日

资本管控指的是限制资本的流进流出。

而同学你理解的C选项是当央行在外汇市场上通货买卖外汇稳定住币值,这时候需要大量的外汇储备。这和我们讲的资本管控不是一回事儿。所以C选项不入选。

不客气。

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