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Adam Wang · 2024年07月14日

分散度

NO.PZ2020033001000090

问题如下:

There are two approaches to calculate risks. In the top-down approach, a bank's portfolio is assumed to be divided into market, credit, and operational risk measures. In the bottom-up approach, interactions among various risk factors are being considered. Different approaches have different assumptions on risk diversification. According to the academic studies which are trying to evaluate the ratio of integrated risks to separate risks, which of the following statements is least accurate?

选项:

A.Top-down studies calculate this ratio to be less than one, which suggests that risk diversification is present and ignored by the separate approach.

B.

Top-down studies calculate this ratio to be greater than one, which suggests that risk diversification is present and ignored by the separate approach.

C.

Bottom-up studies sometimes calculate this ratio to be less than one, but recent findings show evidence of risk compounding, which produces a ratio greater than one.

D.

Bottom-up studies suggest that risk diversification should be questioned.

解释:

B is correct.

考点:Top-down approach and Bottom-up approach

解析:

本题考查的是实证研究结果,可以把正确的描述作为结论来记。

Top-down方法是对整体风险的考量,一般得出的结论是integrated risks to separate risks的比率小于1,也就是风险分散化(risk diversification)存在,所以A正确,B选项说反了,题目要求选择描述不正确的选项,因此正确答案B。

Bottom-up方法实证研究里出现了risk compounding的现象,此时integrated risks to separate risks的比率大于1。所以C选项描述正确,Bottom-up方法可能出现比率小于1或者大于1的现象。

D选项则是根据这种现象推出的结论,使用Bottom-up方法并不一定有risk diversification存在。

讲义哪里有写两种方法的分散度

1 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年07月15日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这个点不太重要,而且算是一些理论和实证研究的观点,讲义里没有出现这个内容,所以这里放一个题给大家去记一下结论。

首先,topdown里对整体风险的考量一般得出的结论是integrated risks to separate risks的比率小于1,也就是风险分散化存在,所以A应该是对的。

其次,实证研究里出现了risk compounding的现象,使integrated risks to separate risks的比率大于1。由此C和D一个是这个现象,一个是由此推出的结论。

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