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mousesky · 2024年04月16日

这些个做法和bias之间没有一一对应对关系吧?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202207040100000304

问题如下:

Which of the following steps is Abernathy least likely to recommend to address the behavioral biases that Carlucci believes exist in the larger funds?

选项:

A.Establish stop-loss rules B.Institute stricter rules for diversification C.Actively seek contradictory information

解释:

Solution

A is correct. Establishing stop-loss rules is most likely to address loss aversion bias, which is an emotional bias whereby investors tend to prefer avoiding losses over achieving gains. Stop-loss rules do not address illusion of control or confirmation bias.

B is incorrect. Illusion of control refers to the human tendency to overestimate one’s ability to select stocks, influence outcomes, and outperform the market. An illusion of control could lead to excessive trading and heavy weighting on a few stocks. Investors should enforce proper trading and portfolio diversification rules to try to avoid this problem.

C is incorrect. Confirmation bias is the tendency of investors to look for information that confirms their existing beliefs about their favorite companies and ignore or undervalue any information that contradicts their existing beliefs. The consequences of confirmation bias are a poorly diversified portfolio, excessive risk exposure, and holdings in poorly performing securities. Actively seeking the opinions of other team members or other information to challenge existing beliefs will help mitigate this bias.

stop-loss为什么只能解决loss aversion bias的问题呢?

illusion of control和confirmation bias不都是对目前持仓理解的错误所导致的吗?只要设定强制止损不就都可以避免了?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年04月17日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学~

不管有什么样的投资偏见,一旦止损了,离开市场了,连投资都不做了,那么自然也不会存在于行为金融偏差。

同学的这个理解也有一定的合理性。只是这道题的场景不允许这么做。


在本题,这是一家大型基金公司,大型基金公司不会离开市场。

基金经理,即使止损卖掉股票A后,基金经理还要买新的股票。

那么一旦买入并持有新的股票,这个行为本身就可以有行为偏差。


例如基金经理有确认偏差,忽视了一个股票的坏消息,那么基金经理就会根据这个偏差,新买入一只股票。

买入这个行为,就带有了偏差。买错票的这个行为,这不是止损可以解决的。

因为止损掉这只,买一个票,还有这个偏差,还会买错。


所以,止损并不能解决:控制幻觉与确认偏差。

尽量做到投资组合多元化,并且多方确认信息,好消息和坏消息都要听,才能解决控制幻觉与确认偏差。


----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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