这道题可以理解为36个月的重复抽样情景吗？

NO.PZ2015120604000178

问题如下：

BIM is a well-developed public company and its market capitalization growth rates over past few decades are normally distributed.The population has a mean of 10% and a standard deviation of 5.4%. An investor wants to figure out the probability that BIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the data are monthly statistics).Which of the following option is most accurate?

选项：

0.5%.

1%.

5%.

解释：

A is correct.

It is appropriate to use the central limit theroy to calculate. Standard error=5.4%/ $\sqrt {\rm{36}}$ P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponding probability is 0.5%.

老师好，这道题可以理解为36个月的重复抽样情景吗？即在未来36 个月的样本下重复抽样，return在12.32%以上的概率，如果可以的话样本标准差S是不是应该等于（1/35）^0.5*5.4%？

添加评论

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年04月07日

同学你好，

1）36个月相当于样本数量一共就是36（n=36）。不是在36个样本里面再抽样；

2）n=36应用在标准误的公式 s / 根号n的分母中，不影响分子s。即样本标准差已经是给定的了（本题中的“a standard deviation of 5.4%”），不需要另行计算。

添加评论

1
回答
0
关注
203
浏览

我要回答关注问题

相关问题

NO.PZ2015120604000178 问题如下 BIM is a well-velopepublic company anits market capitalization growth rates over past few cas are normally stributeThe population ha meof 10% ana stanrviation of 5.4%. investor wants to figure out the probability thBIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the ta are monthly statistics).Whiof the following option is most accurate? A.0.5%. B.1%. C.5%. A is correct. It is appropriate to use the centrlimit theroy to calculate.Stanrerror=5.4%/36\sqrt {\rm{36}}36P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponng probability is 0.5%. 本题是求增长率大于12.3%的概率，为什么会用标准误来表示概率？

2024-01-10 13:53 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2015120604000178问题如下BIM is a well-velopepublic company anits market capitalization growth rates over past few cas are normally stributeThe population ha meof 10% ana stanrviation of 5.4%. investor wants to figure out the probability thBIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the ta are monthly statistics).Whiof the following option is most accurate?A.0.5%.B.1%.C.5%. A is correct. It is appropriate to use the centrlimit theroy to calculate.Stanrerror=5.4%/36\sqrt {\rm{36}}36P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponng probability is 0.5%. 看不懂这道题的提干意思以及求解的顺序和逻辑，请老师解答的详细一些，谢谢

2024-01-03 19:21 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2015120604000178问题如下BIM is a well-velopepublic company anits market capitalization growth rates over past few cas are normally stributeThe population ha meof 10% ana stanrviation of 5.4%. investor wants to figure out the probability thBIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the ta are monthly statistics).Whiof the following option is most accurate?A.0.5%.B.1%.C.5%. A is correct. It is appropriate to use the centrlimit theroy to calculate.Stanrerror=5.4%/36\sqrt {\rm{36}}36P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponng probability is 0.5%. 这道题为什么不考虑大于，按照单尾 1% 选择

2023-12-10 16:05 2 · 回答

NO.PZ2015120604000178 问题如下 BIM is a well-velopepublic company anits market capitalization growth rates over past few cas are normally stributeThe population ha meof 10% ana stanrviation of 5.4%. investor wants to figure out the probability thBIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the ta are monthly statistics).Whiof the following option is most accurate? A.0.5%. B.1%. C.5%. A is correct. It is appropriate to use the centrlimit theroy to calculate.Stanrerror=5.4%/36\sqrt {\rm{36}}36P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponng probability is 0.5%. 为什么用标准误来计算呢，标准误在题干场景里是什么具体含义

2023-11-05 14:07 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2015120604000178问题如下BIM is a well-velopepublic company anits market capitalization growth rates over past few cas are normally stributeThe population ha meof 10% ana stanrviation of 5.4%. investor wants to figure out the probability thBIM's average capitalization growth rate will over 12.32% in the next three years (all the ta are monthly statistics).Whiof the following option is most accurate?A.0.5%.B.1%.C.5%. A is correct. It is appropriate to use the centrlimit theroy to calculate.Stanrerror=5.4%/36\sqrt {\rm{36}}36P(X＞12.32%)=P(Z＞ (12.32%-10%)/0.009)=P(Z＞2.58). So the corresponng probability is 0.5%. 请问到哪里找这个查表

2023-09-24 10:45 1 · 回答

这道题可以理解为36个月的重复抽样情景吗？

1 个答案

1

0

203

相关问题