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张书记 · 2022年06月22日

为什么correlation上升

NO.PZ2020033001000033

问题如下:

In May of 2005, General Motors and Ford was downgraded to junk status, the following situation led to huge losses for multiple hedge funds. Which of the following positions are most likely to be held by these funds and ultimately lead to their losses?

选项:

A.

Long the equity tranche of the CDS and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

B.

Long the equity tranche of the CDS and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

C.

Short the equity tranche of the CDS and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

D.

Short the equity tranche of the CDS and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDS, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:2005年的correlation-related crisis

解析:降级为垃圾级通常会导致债券价格急剧下跌,因为许多共同基金和养老基金不允许持有垃圾债券,CDO中引用投资级债券的债券的相关性下降,因为不同信用质量的债券的相关性通常较低。这导致对冲基金蒙受巨大损失,因为他们的策略是short equity的CDS的同时long mezzanine的CDS,相关性下降时这策略两端都受损。

信用评级下调为什么correlation 不是上升而是下降

1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2022年06月23日

同学你好,他这里的相关性下降指的是市场一下子不行了,senior层级和M与E层级的相关性下降,也就是M和E的违约概率都变大,而senior的违约概率变小。

头寸是卖equity的保险,买mezzanine的保险,他俩违约概率都变大,但是equity风险大于mezzanine,卖equity保险预期的赔付上升,亏钱。买mezzanine的保险,要交的保费变多,亏钱。

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