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hbc0728 · 2021年04月05日

请老师解释一下B选项,谢谢

NO.PZ2018122701000026

问题如下:

Which of the following statements regarding extreme value theory (EVT) is incorrect?

选项:

A.

In contrast to conventional approaches for estimating VaR, EVT only considers the tail behavior of the distribution.

B.

Conventional approaches for estimating VaR that assume that the distribution of returns follows a unique distribution for the entire range of values may fail to properly account for the fat tails of the distribution of returns.

C.

EVT attempts to find the optimal point beyond which all values belong to the tail and then models the distribution of the tail separately.

D.

By smoothing the tail of the distribution, EVT effectively ignores extreme events and losses that can generally be labeled outliers.

解释:

D is correct.

考点 Extreme Value

解析 EVT only uses information in the tail, so statement a. is correct. Conventional approaches such as delta-normal VaR assume a fixed p.d.f. for the entire distribution, which may understate the extent of fat tails. So, statement b. is correct. The first step in EVT is to choose a cutoff point for the tail, then to estimate the parameters of the tail distribution, so statement c. is correct. Finally, EVT does not ignore extreme events (as long as they are in the sample).

如题,请老师解释一下B选项,谢谢

1 个答案
已采纳答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2021年04月05日

同学你好,

B选项说的是常规方法,就是一般正常的参数法(假设数据服从正态分布)来求VaR,在这种方法下没有考虑到数据极端的肥尾分布,所以B选项描述没有问题。

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