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简ying · 2021年01月24日

问一道题:NO.PZ201512300100000903 第3小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

3. What is the terminal value of the stock based on the second approach (earnings multiple)?

选项:

A.

C$12.12.

B.

C$28.29.

C.

C$33.09.

解释:

B is correct.

V8/E8=17

D8/E8=1-0.70=0.30

From the table with the calculation details for the solution to Problem 22,

D8= C$0.4992. So, 0.4992/ E8 = 0.30, which means that E8=0.4992/0.30 = 1.6640.

V8/E8=17 implies that V8/1.6640 = 17, which gives V8 = 17(1.6640) = C$28.2880.

这题蒙对了,但有点晕,八年之后的每年earning应该是变化的吧,所以按照P/E ratio恒定计算出的P也应该变化吧?为啥第八年末按价格乘数得到的价格就可以代表terminal value了?
1 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2021年01月25日

同学你好,如果什么都是变化的,那题目就没法做了,所以咱们的题目都是基于分析师给出的假设来解答的。

在这个题目里,分析师假设第一阶段(持续8年)的g是14%,所以,就可以得到D8的数字;分析师还假设b=0.7,这个时候,就可以的出来E8的数字。

所以虽然题目中用的都是expects,其实就是已知条件,根据分析师的假设来作答即可。

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