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徐威廉 · 2020年04月04日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018123101000110 [ CFA II ]

问题如下:

Kreming suggests using a model to predict the rating change of Bond IV using leverage ratios, return on assets, and macroeconomic variables. Kreming’s suggested model for Bond IV is a:

选项:

A.

structural model.

B.

reduced-form model.

C.

term structure model.

解释:

B is correct. A reduced-form model in credit risk analysis uses historical variables, such as financial ratios and macroeconomic variables, to estimate the default intensity. A structural model for credit risk analysis, in contrast, uses option pricing and relies on a traded market for the issuer’s equity.

读题目的感觉是运用model得到数据变化,标准的structure model啊!
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已采纳答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年04月07日

同学答案有解释你的问题呀,麻烦认真看下答案。

Reduced form model才是基于历史数据,structure是基于模型,公司资产负债表。详见强化课讲义P29-30。