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Shawnxz · 2020年03月19日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018123101000111

问题如下:

Lebedeva and Kowalski discuss the drivers of the term structure of credit spreads. Kowalski tells Lebedeva:
Statement 1 The credit term structure for the most highly rated securities tends to be either flat or slightly upward sloping.
Statement 2 The credit term structure for lower-rated securities is often steeper, and credit spreads widen with expectations of strong economic growth.

Which of Kowalski’s statements regarding the term structure of credit spreads is correct?

选项:

A.

Only Statement 1

B.

Only Statement 2

C.

Both Statement 1 and Statement 2

解释:

A is correct. For investment-grade bonds with the highest credit ratings, credit spreads are extremely low, and credit migration is possible only in one direction given the implied lower bound of zero on credit spreads. As a result, the credit term structure for the most highly rated securities tends to be either flat or slightly upward sloping. Securities with lower credit quality, however, face greater sensitivity to the credit cycle. Credit spreads would decrease, not increase, with the expectation of economic growth. There is a countercyclical relationship between credit spreads and benchmark rates over the business cycle. A strong economic climate is associated with higher benchmark yields but lower credit spreads because the probability of issuers defaulting declines in such good times.

请问能解释一下statement2吗?谢谢

1 个答案
已采纳答案

WallE_品职答疑助手 · 2020年03月20日

同学你好,

第二句话是错的,它说的是 ”低评级证券的信用期限结构往往更为陡峭,随着强劲经济增长的预期,信贷息差也会扩大。“

他错在后半句,因为经济好的时候信贷息差会变小,大家都不那么容易违约。