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ffflo · 2019年12月09日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091702000011

问题如下:

Linda is a portfolio manager with excellent record of performance. She owes the success to her hard working and sensitive observation of capital market. However, recently her portfolio did not perform well and some investors have withdrawn their investments. In her meeting with her boss Jesse, she said, ‘The underperformance should not blame on me. It is the traders who did not execute my order soon enough to catch up with the market changes.'

Linda is most likely involved in:

选项:

A.

Regret aversion bias.

B.

Self control bias

C.

Overconfidence bias.

解释:

C is correct.

考点识别behavior bias

解析Lindaoverconfidence bias的表现有把成功归功于自己把失败归咎于他人 Regret aversion bias通常是人们担心投资决策会导致损失因此害怕或者不愿意做决策Self control bias是人们因为缺乏自律而导致短期消费过度长期目标不能实现

你好,请问overconfidence在这题的表现就等于self-attribution了吧?这两个bias是包含的关系吗?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

企鹅_品职助教 · 2019年12月09日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


严格来说的话,self-attribution是造成overconfidence的原因, 他俩是因果关系。(参考基础班讲义95页)

但是我们做题的时候,是看成overconfidence bias包含self-attribution和illusion of knowlege这两个偏差. 如果题目中表现出了self-attribution,那么同时也就表现出了overconfidence. 


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