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丛聪 · 2019年11月29日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000064

问题如下:

Jacques prepares to update the valuation of TMT. The company’s expected ROE in 2017 is 34.5% but it is assumed that the firm’s ROE will slowly decline towards the cost of equity thereafter.  As of the beginning of 2015, based upon the information in the below table, use the multistage-stage residual income (RI) model to determine the intrinsic value of the equity of TMT. The intrinsic value per share is closest to:

选项:

A.

22.72.

B.

14.97.

C.

78.81.

解释:

B is correct.

考点:RI

解析:B是正确的。第一步是计算2015 - 2017年的每股剩余收益:

第二步是计算终值的现值:

PV of Terminal Value =1.88/(1+0.08-0.85)(1.08)2=7

那么每股的内在价值就是: V0=5+1.6/(1.080)+1.74/(1.08)2+7=14.97

解析:B是正确的。第一步是计算2015 - 2017年的每股剩余收益:

第二步是计算终值的现值:

PV of Terminal Value =1.88/(1+0.08-0.85)(1.08)2=7

那么每股的内在价值就是: V0=5+1.6/(1.080)+1.74/(1.08)2+7=14.97



老师,请问这道题再计算PV of Terminal Value的时候,上面的1.88为什么不乘以0.85呢?

2 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2020年02月13日

maggie_品职助教 · 2019年11月30日


解析计算的是V2,1.88已经是RI3的值了,就不用再乘w了。




tzdsgn · 2020年02月12日

2017年之后ROE下降的话,PV of continuing RI 不是应该是V2017或者是V3吗,请问下我哪里没有理解对吗

maggie_品职助教 · 2020年02月13日

你上面问解析为何不乘以0.85因为它是按原版书的公式计算的,而你说的没错这道题如果按照李老师讲的应该是下面这样的做法(请看截图)。建议按照李老师的思路来做。

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