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贝贝 · 2018年11月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091706000045

问题如下图:

    

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:


这道题题干6个月后GBP不是更贵了么?那么难道不是GBP的利率更高了么?为什么要用平价理论解题呢

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2018年11月13日

通常情况下,二级汇率这里给了利率,没有特殊说明,首先先到利率评价理论。

利率比较高容易吸引外资只是短期的,比如一两月的情况。长期而言,利率高的的国家,汇率会再未来出现下跌。

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NO.PZ2018091706000045 问题如下 Analyst Bob is stuing foreign exchange market. He observes that:1. The spot exchange market rate is 1.5500 USGfor bian1.5505 for ask.2. The 6-month forwarrate is 1.5532 USGfor bian1.5540 for ask.So, Bob cget whiof the following conclusions? A.The 6-month USinterest rate is less ththe 6-month Ginterest rate. B.The 6-month USinterest rate is greater ththe 6-month Ginterest rate. C.The 6-month USinterest rate is equto the 6-month Ginterest rate. B is correct.考点Interest rate parity解析根据利率平价理论,我们可以得到如下公式FUSGBP=SUSGBP(1+iUS180360)1+iGBP(180360))F_{USGBP}=S_{USGBP}{(\frac{1+i_{US{(\frac{180}{360})}}{1+i_{GBP}{(\frac{180}{360})}})}FUSGBP​=SUSGBP​(1+iGBP​(360180​)1+iUS(360180​)​)现在分析师Bob观察到的结果是F S。因此,等式右边(1+iUS180360)1+iGBP(180360))(\frac{1+i_{US{(\frac{180}{360})}}{1+i_{GBP}{(\frac{180}{360})}})(1+iGBP​(360180​)1+iUS(360180​)​)这一项数值一定大于1。所以该项中分子的iUS_{USiUS 分母的iGBPi_{GBP}iGBP​。所以选 No.PZ2018091706000045 (选择题)这道题,USGBP提高了,GBP升值,升值不应该说明利率更高吗?因为利率高,相应货币会增值,为啥反而是US率更高?

2024-04-10 22:49 1 · 回答

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