NO.PZ2024011002000165
问题如下:
Nigel French, an analyst at Taurus Investment Management, is analyzing Archway Technologies, a manufacturer of luxury electronic auto equipment. If the luxury electronic auto equipment industry is subject to rapid technological changes and market share shifts, how should French best adapt his approach to modeling?
选项:
A.Examine base rates.
B.Speak to analysts who hold diverse opinions on the stock.
C.Forecast multiple scenarios.
解释:
C is correct. Forecasting a single scenario would not be appropriate given the high degree of uncertainty and range of potential outcomes for companies in this industry.没看明白,base rate不是一件事发生的基本概率吗,因为发生重大变革,所以不能用历史经验,应该从行业来看一件事发生的基本概率,为什么不选A呢