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lz523 · 2025年06月11日

请解释一下C选项

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202206070100000201

问题如下:

Grey’s statement regarding the impact of RiteVal’s inflation scenario is most likely:

选项:

A.incorrect because of his comment about real estate.

B.correct.

C.incorrect because of his comment about equities.

解释:

Solution

A is correct. In deflation, real estate experiences downward pricing pressure (negative) and bonds benefit from improving purchasing power (positive). Unexpectedly low inflation (or deflation) will put downward pressure on expected rental income and property values, especially for less-than-prime properties, which may have to cut rents sharply to avoid rising vacancies. Therefore, Grey’s comment about real estate is incorrect. In equilibrium, inflation at or below expectations is a positive for equities. The comment about equities is correct.

B is incorrect. Grey’s statement is wrong as stated above.

C is incorrect. Grey’s statement about equity returns is accurate.

题目考察的是通胀/通缩对于不同资产的影响。在通货紧缩时期,房地产面临价格下行的压力,而债券则受益于购买力的提高。非预期内的低通胀(或通缩)将给预期的租金收入和房产价值带来下行的压力。尤其是那些标的不太好的房产,它们可能会大幅降低租金,以避免空置率上升。因此,Grey关于房地产的评论是不正确的。总的来说,达到或低于预期的通胀对股市都是有利的。所以题目中关于股票的评论是正确的。

如题,GREY关于equity的讲法是,通胀回到预期水平,那不就是上文提到的通缩吗?通缩对股票是负面影响啊。

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2025年06月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


C是错的。C本身说主人公关于股权的说法是错的。但C本身说的是OK的。

预期内的通胀,即便是低于预期,对股市都不算严重伤害。(除非题目明确提及这个时候整个经济大环境变差了。)

咱们讲义上主要观点是通缩会对资产密集型和大宗生产性企业有影响,但不是对整个股市有影响。

而且题目意思是当前短暂通缩是让通胀回到预期内,只要是预期内,对股市就是有利的。


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