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monicaaaaa · 2025年04月29日

required return 和短期利率的关系

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NO.PZ202105270100000406

问题如下:

Using the building block approach, the required rate of return for the ZMC bond will most likely:

选项:

A.increase based on the change in the credit premium. B.decrease based on the change in the default-free rate. C.decrease based on the change in the liquidity premium.

解释:

A is correct.

The credit premium is the additional expected return demanded for bearing the risk of default losses. A credit downgrade two steps lower will increase the credit premium and the required rate of return. The change in the default-free rate associated with the monetary tightening will increase (not decrease) the required rate of return. The widening of the spread between the sovereign bond and the next highest-quality government agency security indicates an increase in the liquidity premium, which will increase (not decrease) the required rate of return.

B is incorrect because the required rate of return would increase (not decrease) based on the change in the default-free rate associated with the monetary tightening.

C is incorrect because the rate of return would increase (not decrease) based on a change in the liquidity premium. The liquidity premium can be estimated from the yield spread between the highest-quality issuer (typically a sovereign bond) and the next highest-quality large issuer of similar bonds (often a government agency). A widening yield spread indicates an increase in the liquidity premium and required rate of return.

信用溢价是承担违约损失风险所要求的额外预期收益。信用评级再下调两级,将增加信用溢价和所需的回报率。与货币紧缩相关的无违约利率的变化将增加(而不是减少)所需的回报率。主权债券与第二高质量政府机构证券之间的息差不断扩大,表明流动性溢价上升,这将提高(而非降低)所需的回报率。

B是错误的,因为要求的回报率将增加(而不是减少)基于与货币紧缩相关的无违约利率的变化。

C是错误的,因为收益率会根据流动性溢价的变化而增加(而不是减少)。流动性溢价可以通过最优质的发行人(通常是主权债券)与次之的同类债券大型发行人(通常是政府机构)之间的收益率差来估计。利差的扩大表明流动性溢价和要求收益率的增加。

可不可以这么理解:短期利率上升——紧缩的货币政策——预计未来经济下行——required return上升。或者说如果书上有哪个句子解释了,烦请老师帮忙划一下,谢谢!

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2025年04月30日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


单纯短期利率上升不能推断是采取了或者将要采取紧缩货币政策。

短期利率上升,也可能是因为投资热情比较高涨所引起的。

短期利率上升可以理解为无风险利率上升,它是required return的组成部分,所以后者也会跟随上升。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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