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哇哈哈哈 · 2025年02月04日

能否解释下这道题

NO.PZ2024092001000027

问题如下:

Which of the following statements about convergence hypotheses is most accurate?

选项:

A.Countries risk falling into a non-convergence trap if they do not implement necessary institutional reforms B.The neoclassical model allows for countries that start with high per capita income to grow faster and stay ahead of developing countries C.Investing in lower-income countries subject to club convergence should provide a lower rate of return than investing in higher-income countries

解释:

A Correct because countries may fall into a non-convergence trap if they do not implement necessary institutional reforms. For example, failure to reform labor markets has undermined growth in some European countries that have experienced weak growth in employment and high rates of unemployment over the last two decades. Certain institutional arrangements that initially enhance growth may later generate non-convergence traps if maintained too long. Import substitution policies enabled the Latin American countries to grow rapidly in the 1950s and 1960s but caused them to stagnate in the 1970s and 1980s.


B Incorrect because in contrast to the neoclassical model, which predicts that convergence should occur, it is the endogenous growth model that allows for countries that start with high per capita income and more capital to grow faster and stay ahead of the developing countries. If the externalities associated with knowledge and human capital are large, the higher-income country can maintain its lead through high rates of investment in these capital inputs.


C Incorrect because if convergence, and especially club convergence, does occur, investing in countries with lower per capita incomes that are members of the club should, over long periods, provide a higher rate of return than investing in higher-income countries. Convergence means that the rate of growth of potential GDP should be higher in developing countries that have made the institutional changes that are a precondition for growth and that enable these countries to become members of the convergence club. With higher long-term growth in these economies, corporate profits should also grow at a faster rate. Given the faster rate of growth in earnings, stock prices may also rise at a faster rate.

能否解释下这道题

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2025年02月05日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这里先理解Convergence hypotheses的知识点。

Convergence hypotheses是指收敛假设。指发展中国家最终会发展成发达国家,增长率会降低到和发达国家类似的水平。

Convergence hypotheses属于新古典模型。

对应知识点内容如下:



结合本题:


A.如果国家不实施必要的体制改革,就有可能陷入非趋同陷阱。

A正确,因为如果各国不实施必要的体制改革,可能会陷入非趋同陷阱。例如,劳动力市场改革的失败破坏了一些欧洲国家的增长,这些国家在过去二十年里经历了就业增长疲软和失业率高企。某些最初促进增长的制度安排,如果维持时间过长,可能会在以后产生非趋同陷阱。进口替代政策使拉丁美洲国家在20世纪50年代和60年代迅速增长,但在20世纪70年代和80年代却停滞不前。


B.新古典模式允许从高人均收入开始的国家更快地增长,并保持领先于发展中国家。

B不正确,新古典模型认为低人均收入的国家增长更快。


C.投资于俱乐部趋同的低收入国家应比投资于高收入国家提供更低的回报率

C不正确,低收入国家增长更快,因此回报率也更高。


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