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程冠林 · 2024年11月13日

题干里也没说prudence bias呢

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NO.PZ202206070100000103

问题如下:

Which of O'Reilly's explanations regarding the anchoring bias and prudence bias is most likely incorrect?

选项:

A.for both. B.only for the prudence bias. C.only for the anchoring bias.

解释:

Solution

A is correct. Both of O’Reilly’s explanations are incorrect. His description of the prudence bias is incorrect—he is referring to the confirmation bias. The prudence bias is the tendency to temper forecasts so that they do not appear extreme or the tendency to be overly cautious in forecasting. His explanation of the anchoring bias is also incorrect. The anchoring bias is the tendency of the mind to give disproportionate weight to the first information it receives on a topic: initial impressions, estimates, or data, anchor subsequent thoughts and judgments.

B is incorrect. His description of the prudence bias is incorrect—he is referring to the confirmation bias.

C is incorrect. O’Reilly’s statement regarding the anchoring trap is incorrect. This is a description of availability bias.

A是正确的。奥莱利的两种解释都是不正确的。他对审慎偏差的描述是不正确的——他指的是确认偏差。审慎偏差是指为使预测不显得极端而调整预测的倾向,或预测时过于谨慎的倾向。他对锚定偏差的解释也是不正确的。锚定偏误是一种倾向,即大脑会对接收到的关于某个主题的第一个信息给予不成比例的权重:最初的印象、估计或数据,从而锚定随后的想法和判断。

B是不正确的。他对审慎偏差的描述是不正确的——他指的是确认偏差。

C是不正确的。奥莱利关于锚定陷阱的声明是不正确的。这是对可得性偏差的描述。

只提到了“confirming evidence trap ”,不是confirmation bias?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年11月14日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这道题出得有歧义。


需要改一下,就可做了。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年11月15日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这是刊误?

是的。同学理解正确。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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