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哈密瓜 · 2024年10月22日

该公式资本增值方面应该是三方面,GDP增长率、E/GDP增长率、P/E增长率,长期后两者为0,这样理解对吗?该题未提到E/GDP

NO.PZ2020012201000007

问题如下:

Alena,CFA, was updating her firm’s projections for US equity returns.If she believed that in the long run that the US labor input would grow by 0.9% perannum and labor productivity by 1.5%, that inflation would be 2.1%, that the dividend yield would be 2.25%, and that there would be no further growth in P/E, what is likely to have been her baseline projection for continuously compounded long-term US equity returns?

选项:

A.

6.75%

B.

5.5%

C.

5.85%

解释:

A is correct

解释:

在长期,一国股票市场的CAPITAL APPRECIATION的增长率等于该国GDP的增长率(本题P/E增长率为0也证实了这一点)。那么本题CAPITAL APPRECIATION就等于计算该国GDP的增长率。此后再加上股息增长率就可以得到股权市场的增长率。

Her baseline projection is likely to have been 6.75% = 0.9% + 1.5% + 2.1% + 2.25%

依照公式可得:. 6.75% = 0.9% + 1.5% + 2.1% + 2.25%

该公式资本增值方面应该是三方面,GDP增长率、E/GDP增长率、P/E增长率,长期来看后两者为0,这样理解对吗?该题未提到E/GDP增长率,是否因为问的是长期股票收益率预测,所以就默认该项为0了?但题目又提了不考虑P/E增长率

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年10月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


该公式资本增值方面应该是三方面,GDP增长率、E/GDP增长率、P/E增长率,长期来看后两者为0,这样理解对吗?该题未提到E/GDP增长率,是否因为问的是长期股票收益率预测,所以就默认该项为0了?但题目又提了不考虑P/E增长率

Hello,亲爱的同学~

这样理解是正确的。

如果题目里有Long -term并且E/GDP增长率没给数据的话,我们解题的时候默认为零。

长期看,E/GDP增长率、P/E增长率是零。同学理解正确。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

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