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周梅 · 2024年08月25日

投资组合

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NO.PZ202403050400001405

问题如下:

With respect to Lange’s observations concerning the limitations of the Fundamental Law of Active Management, she is most likely correct regarding:

选项:

A.Points 1 and 3. B.Points 2 and 3. C.Points 1 and 2.

解释:

A is incorrect because Lange’s statement about forecasting is incorrect. Most investors overestimate their forecasting abilities, so actual information ratios are substantially lower, not higher, than predicted.

B is incorrect because Lange’s statement about forecasting is incorrect. Most investors overestimate their forecasting abilities, so actual information ratios are substantially lower, not higher, than predicted.

C is correct. Investment decisions are not always as independent as one might assume. For example, with fixed-income portfolios, almost all bonds represent some sort of credit risk and duration risk, and thus the returns are highly correlated in subtle ways. Constraints on turnover limit using a transfer coefficient is a well-known refinement of the Fundamental Law.

Point 3: Most investors underestimate their forecasting abilities and thus understate the information ratio.

这是解析:Most investors overestimate their forecasting abilities, so actual information ratios are substantially lower, not higher, than predicted.

按照解析,观点Point 3是对的呀,请讲解下正确知识点

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年08月26日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


case中的Point 3说的是underestimate(低估),解析中为overestimate(高估)。解析中是对的,因为投资者更愿意宣称自己有很强的预测能力,从而是高估而不是低估information ratio。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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