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阿远酱 · 2024年08月06日

股票和波动率成反向关系

NO.PZ2022062601000026

问题如下:

Company H has shifted to a hedge fund strategy that focuses specifically on volatility trading. Add this fund (Fund A) to the investor's investment portfolio in an effort to hedge long equity positions. Fund A typically implement the following three types of transactions in their strategies:

  • Trade 1: Sell exchange-traded and over-the-counter equity call options on a market index.
  • Trade 2: Sell VIX futures to capture the volatility premium and roll-down payoff.
  • Trade 3: Purchase a receiver volatility swap with an at-inception fair value of zero.
Which transactions are most likely to achieve the goals set by Company H as a reason for considering this strategy?

选项:

A.

Trade 1

B.

Trade 2

C.

Trade 3

解释:

C is correct. There is a negative correlation between equities and volatility. A long volatility positions are necessary to hedge equity exposure in investment portfolios. Trade 1 is a short volatility position and will not hedge against equity positions as it requires a long volatility position. Trade 2 is also a short position in volatility; Its purpose is to charge a premium for selling volatility. This type of transaction will be carried out simultaneously with the equity sell-off, providing hedging. Trade 3 is a direct purchase of volatility through swaps, providing a pure long exposure and hedging the existing equity exposure in the portfolio.

A is incorrect. A short volatility position will not hedge the equity position since a long volatility position is needed.

B is not correct. Trading 2 is a short position in volatility; Its purpose is to charge a premium for selling volatility. This type of transaction will be sold simultaneously with the stock sell-off, therefore no hedging is provided.

知识点考察:volatility trading

从题干看出其目的是要对冲做多股票的风险敞口,而股票和波动率成反向关系,所以应该做多波动率来达到题干的目的。而trade1 2 3中只有trade 3是做多波动率的。所以选项trade 3


是股票涨的时候波动率小的意思吗,可以解释一下为什么吗

1 个答案
已采纳答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2024年08月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


是的,原因教材没讲,而且这个主要还是观察的结果,原因我提供一下思路,你可以看看

这种现象在股票市场中是比较常见的。


当股票上涨时,波动率低通常反映出市场对该股票的上涨具有一定的共识和稳定性。可能是由于公司的基本面良好、业绩稳定增长、行业前景乐观等因素,使得投资者对股票的未来走势持有较为一致的积极预期,从而交易相对平稳,波动率较低。例如,像茅台这样的优质蓝筹股,在其业绩持续稳定增长的阶段,股价上涨时往往波动率相对较低。


股票跌的时候波动率高主要是因为市场对下跌的反应更为敏感,‌以及下跌事件往往伴随着更多的不确定性。‌

首先,‌从经济和市场的角度来看,‌股票价格的波动主要受到供求关系的影响,‌而供求关系的变化又受到多种因素的影响,‌包括政治性因素和经济性因素。‌政治性因素如战争、‌政权更迭、‌政府政策等,‌以及经济性因素如经济增长、‌物价变动等,‌都会对股票价格产生影响。‌当这些因素导致股票价格下跌时,‌市场反应通常更为剧烈,‌因为投资者对股价下跌的敏感度高于股价上涨。‌此外,‌下跌事件往往伴随着更多的不确定性,‌这种不确定性会增加投资者的焦虑和恐慌,‌进而加剧市场的波动。‌

其次,‌从投资者的心理和行为角度来看,‌投资者的预期和判断对股票价格的波动有着重要影响。‌短线投资者对股价上涨的预期越强,‌预期股价上涨的投资者越多,‌股价向上波动的幅度就越大。‌反之,‌当市场出现没有预期到的事件时,‌投资者将根据自己的判断做出买入卖出的决定,‌股价开始向上或向下波动。‌事件对股价影响的确定性程度决定市场反应的速度,‌而事件超预期的幅度决定市场反应的大小。‌超预期的事件与市场预期的差异越大,‌股市的波动幅度就越大,‌新的股价均衡点离事件前的均衡点就越远,‌表现为股价比较大的上行或下行趋势。‌

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