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北欧神父 · 2024年06月13日

关于roll如何判断

NO.PZ2022123002000002

问题如下:

Rosario Delgado is an investment manager in Spain. Delgado’s client, Max Rivera, seeks assistance with his well-diversified investment portfolio denominated in US dollars.

Rivera’s reporting currency is the euro, and he is concerned about his US dollar exposure. His portfolio IPS requires monthly rebalancing, at a minimum. The portfolio’s market value is USD2.5 million. Given Rivera’s risk aversion, Delgado is considering a monthly hedge using either a one-month forward contract or one-month futures contract.

Assume Rivera’s portfolio was perfectly hedged. It is now time to rebalance the portfolio and roll the currency hedge forward one month. The relevant data for rebalancing are provided in Exhibit 1.


Calculate the net cash flow (in euros) to maintain the desired hedge. Show your calculations.

选项:

解释:

Correct Answer:

When hedging one month ago, Delgado would have sold USD2,500,000 one month forward against the euro. Now, with the US dollar-denominated portfolio increasing in value to USD2,650,000, a mismatched FX swap is needed to settle the initial expiring forward contract and establish a new hedge given the higher market value of the US dollar-denominated portfolio.

To calculate the net cash flow (in euros) to maintain the desired hedge, the following steps are necessary:

1. Buy USD2,500,000 at the spot rate. Buying US dollars against the euro means selling euros, which is the base currency in the EUR/USD spot rate. Therefore, the offer side of the market must be used to calculate the outflow in euros.

USD2,500,000 × 0.8876 = EUR2,219,000.

2. Sell USD2,650,000 at the spot rate adjusted for the one-month forward points (all-in forward rate). Selling the US dollar against the euro means buying euros, which is the base currency in the EUR/USD spot rate. Therefore, the bid side of the market must be used to calculate the inflow in euros.

All-in forward rate = 0.8875 + (20/10,000) = 0.8895.

USD2,650,000 × 0.8895 = EUR2,357,175.

3. Therefore, the net cash flow is equal to EUR2,357,175 – EUR2,219,000, which is equal to EUR138,175.

roll有两种,一种是在每次全部都roll掉,另外一种是针对变动的头寸来roll,这个题目怎么判断是第一种而不是第二种呢,题目也没明确说明

2 个答案
已采纳答案

lehrwang · 2024年06月13日

Assume Rivera’s portfolio was perfectly hedged. It is now time to rebalance the portfolio and roll the currency hedge forward one month.

pzqa31 · 2024年06月14日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这个要看具体题目,比如这道题说了要每个月都要roll,那肯定就是你说的第一种。但是如果比如说本来投资了一个外汇资产,期限是一年,过了一个月以后要rebalance,forward的到期日和现货到期日一致,那这种就是补差额。或者比如题目说了要一直保持一份合约,那就是不断的close掉原合约,再签新合约。所以具体还是要看题目描述。

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