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emma爱地球 · 2024年06月11日

D1代表什么?

NO.PZ2023052407000008

问题如下:

An analyst observes the benchmark Indian NIFTY 50 stock index trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15. The index’s expected dividend payout ratio in the next year is 50 percent, and the index’s required return is 7.50 percent. If the analyst believes that the NIFTY 50 index dividends will grow at a constant rate of 4.50 percent in the future, which of the following statements is correct?

选项:

A.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as overpriced.

B.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as underpriced.

C.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as fairly priced

解释:

B is correct. Using Equation 24, the previous input results in the following inequality:


The above inequality implies that the analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as priced too low. The fundamental inputs into the equation imply a forward price to earnings ratio of 16.67 rather than 15. An alternative approach to answering the question would be to solve for implied growth using the observed forward price to earnings ratio of 15 and compare this to the analyst’s growth expectations:


Solving for g yields a result of 4.1667 percent. Since the analyst expects higher NIFTY 50 dividend growth of 4.50 percent, the index is viewed as underpriced.

D1/r-g里面,D1不是下一期的dividend吗?但是0.5是dividend payout rate 吧?不等于dividend?

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年06月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


D1不是下一期的dividend吗?----------对

但是0.5是dividend payout rate 吧?不等于dividend?-------------对。


答案解析的列式中,左侧的15也不是价格,而是 forward price-to-earnings ratio。解析中的列式思路相当于把常规的GGM模型的左右两边同时都除以了Et+1,即:

所以等式右侧分子上是expected dividend payout ratio,不是原有的“下一期的dividend”。这是可以使用0.5的原因。


----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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