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宇宙球求 · 2024年05月18日

财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)怎么得出 通胀上升的逻辑?

NO.PZ2018091901000052

问题如下:

Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:

Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:

Observation 1 Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight.

Based on Observation 1, fiscal and monetary policies in Country Y will most likely lead to:

选项:

A.

low nominal rates.

B.

high nominal rates.

C.

either high or low nominal rates.

解释:

C is correct.

Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight. With this combination of persistently loose and tight policies, the impact could lead to higher or lower nominal rates (typically labeled as mid-nominal rates).

解析:

Y国的货币政策持续宽松(通胀上升),财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)。由于持续的宽松和紧缩政策(货币和财政政策并不一致),其影响可能导致名义利率上升或下降(通常被称为中间名义利率)。

因此只有C选项正确。

求问。

2 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年05月20日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


财政政策与利率的关系怎么推导呢?可否如是理解: 紧缩政策=低实际利率,宽松货币=高通胀;紧缩政策+宽松货币=无法特殊实际结论,要看哪一项政策影响力更强。

财政政策对应的是实际利率。

紧缩财政和宽松货币 = 低实际利率,高通胀。

因此名义利率是高是低,无法得出结论。

同学的这个理解是正确的。

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笛子_品职助教 · 2024年05月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)怎么得出 通胀上升的逻辑?

Hello,亲爱的同学~

财政政策与实际利率有关。

货币政策与通胀有关。

因此,财政政策本身,并不能得出通胀如何变动的结论。


我们看本题:

通胀上升的结论,并不是由财政政策紧缩得出的。

本题的情形是:货币政策扩张 + 财政政策紧缩。

从货币政策扩张,才可以得出通胀上升的结论。


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