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Cooljas · 2024年04月21日

这个公式是根据什么变形得到的啊?

NO.PZ2023091701000135

问题如下:

A risk manager at a bank is speaking to a group of analysts about estimating credit losses in loan portfolios. The manager presents a scenario with a portfolio consisting of two loans and provides information about the loans as given below:

选项:

A.CNY 1.38 million B.CNY 1.59 million C.CNY 3.03 million D.CNY 3.36 million

解释:

C is correct. The standard deviation of losses (σi) for each individual loan is:

where, pi represents probability of default (p1 = 2%, p2 = 2%), Li represents exposure at default (amount borrowed) (L1 = CNY 15 million, L2 = CNY 20 million), and Ri represents recovery rate (R1 = 40%, R2 = 25%)).

Therefore, the standard deviations for loan 1 and loan 2 are:

The variance of losses on the portfolio can then be calculated as:

The standard deviation is therefore 9.1728=3.0287.



1 个答案

pzqa39 · 2024年04月21日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


可以听一下经典题视频 sec7. Credit Risk Measurement and Management ;

Expected Credit Loss and Unexpected Credit Loss 第12分钟 此部分公式推导讲解(上图)

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