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Hazel · 2024年03月27日

请问可以解释一下C吗?

NO.PZ2023091802000051

问题如下:

A risk manager is deciding between buying a futures contract on an exchange and buying a forward contract directly from a counterparty on the same underlying asset. Both contracts would have the same maturity and delivery specifications. The manager finds that the futures price is less than the forward price. Assuming no arbitrage opportunity exists, what single factor acting alone would be a realistic explanation for this price difference?

选项:

A.

The futures contract is more liquid and easier to trade.

B.

The forward contract counterparty is more likely to default.

C.

The asset is strongly negatively correlated with interest rates.

D.

The transaction costs on the futures contract are less than on the forward contract.

解释:

When an asset is strongly negatively correlated with interest rates, futures prices will tend to be slightly lower than forward prices. When the underlying asset increases in price, the immediate gain arising from the daily futures settlement will tend to be invested at a lower than average rate of interest due to the negative correlation. In this case futures would sell for slightly less than forward contracts, which are not affected by interest rate movements in the same manner since forward contracts do not have a daily settlement feature.

The other three choices would all most likely result in the futures price being higher than the forward price.

看了答案,但是还是没理解C选项

1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年03月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


题目说了“The manager finds that the futures price is less than the forward price”,就是在相同的条件下,期货价格小于远期价格,问你这是由于什么原因造成的?

根据基础班讲义:

当标的资产的价格与利率负相关时,期货价格可能会小于远期价格,原因是:期货合约是逐日结算,资产价格上升时带来的多头盈利会在当天收盘后反馈到你的账户里(这笔钱可以拿去投资赚利息)。但是在资产价格与利率负相关时,资产价格上涨对应的是利率下降,所以这笔盈利只能拿去赚取更低的利息。

而远期合约不需要担心账户里的资金利息下降(远期合约不是逐日结算,不存在每天反馈到账户里的盈利或亏损,而是到期日一次性结算的),所以远期合约更占优势,那么远期价格会大于期货价格。



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