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fourenough · 2023年12月29日

为什么不用考虑capital stock的因素。题目中提供的spending数据是属于capital stock相关么？

  1. CFA III
  2. Capital Market Expectations

NO.PZ2022122601000049

问题如下：

The team then discusses what the long-term growth path for U.S. GDP should be in the aftermath of exogenous shocks due to the financial crises that began in 2008. They examine several reports from outside sources and develop a consensus view of 10-year annual growth expectations for the items in Exhibit 1.



Using the data in Exhibit 1 and the simplest approach to analyze aggregate trend growth for U.S. GDP, the most likely estimate for the 10-year annual GDP growth (in %) is:

选项：

A.

3.0

B.3.5 C.

3.6

解释：

Correct answer: A

中文解析：

变化带来的增长:(%)=
潜在劳动力就业增长+1.9
劳动力参与率增长-0.3
劳动生产率增长1.4%
= GDP增长率预测值=3.0

为什么不用考虑capital stock的因素。题目中提供的spending数据是属于capital stock相关么？

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1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年12月29日

嗨，爱思考的PZer你好：


Hello，亲爱的同学~

这道题实际上是考虑了同学所说的capital stock因素的

只是没有直接考虑，而是间接考虑。


本题已知：劳动生产率的增长率为1.4%，这是已知条件。

而劳动生产率，是综合考虑了资本和技术因素。

因此，同学所说的capital stock，已经包含在本题的已知条件：劳动生产率增长= 1.4%，包含在这里了。



----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦，但努力过的感觉真的很好，加油！

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