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momo · 2023年11月06日

低估

NO.PZ2023052407000008

问题如下:

An analyst observes the benchmark Indian NIFTY 50 stock index trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15. The index’s expected dividend payout ratio in the next year is 50 percent, and the index’s required return is 7.50 percent. If the analyst believes that the NIFTY 50 index dividends will grow at a constant rate of 4.50 percent in the future, which of the following statements is correct?

选项:

A.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as overpriced.

B.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as underpriced.

C.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as fairly priced

解释:

B is correct. Using Equation 24, the previous input results in the following inequality:


The above inequality implies that the analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as priced too low. The fundamental inputs into the equation imply a forward price to earnings ratio of 16.67 rather than 15. An alternative approach to answering the question would be to solve for implied growth using the observed forward price to earnings ratio of 15 and compare this to the analyst’s growth expectations:


Solving for g yields a result of 4.1667 percent. Since the analyst expects higher NIFTY 50 dividend growth of 4.50 percent, the index is viewed as underpriced.

为什么4.17<4.5,就是低估的

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年11月06日

同学你好,

4.1667的增长率对应价格为15,这是目前市场上呈现出的价格。4.50增长率对应的价格为16.67,这是该股票应该有的价格。

由于市场价格低于应有的价格,所以价格被低估。

注:此处价格指的是相对价格,即PE。PE为相对价格的知识点会在equity中后续讲解。

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