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tzdsgn · 2023年07月19日

翻译

NO.PZ2023010903000045

问题如下:

Leeter tells Clickman about the interesting investment process of the XTZZ Fund. Leeter states that many times, government- reported data are revised three to six months after the data are initially reported. These revisions then become incorporated into the historical data, with the revised value replacing the originally reported value. When the revision is incorporated, the data are referred to as “clean data.” XTZZ applies its analysis in a manner in which the originally reported data exist as a lagged factor until the revised data become available. This approach differentiates XTZZ from funds that use only the “clean” data, which ignore the initially reported data values.

XTZZ’s approach to analyzing government-reported data most likely reduces:

选项:

A.

look-ahead bias

B.

survivorship bias

C.

model overfitting

解释:

XTZZ’s approach prevents the use of “revised” government data that are not known when the data are initially reported. By not incorporating revised government data until they are actually revealed, XTZZ reduces look-ahead bias.

B is incorrect. Survivorship bias occurs when analysis on past data ignores firms that have ceased to exist at some point during the analysis period.

C is incorrect. Model overfitting occurs when the model fits the past data by finding a pre-conceived relationship (i.e., making the model specifications biased toward the pre-relationship) or when the model is biased toward patterns that are specific only to the past data.

xtzz applies….这句话能翻一下吗

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年07月20日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


XTZZ以原始报告数据作为滞后因素存在的方式应用其分析,直到修正后的数据可用。这种方法将XTZZ与只使用“干净”数据的基金区分开来,后者忽略了最初报告的数据值。


理解这句话需要首先理解look-ahead bias的知识点。


有些数据,会发布一个初始值,然后再修正。

比如2023年一季度的GDP数据,会在2023年4月发布一个最初的值。

然后在2023年年底,复验这个数据对不对,如果不对,会在2023年年底,再发布一个一季度GDP数据的修正值。


我们做策略,用到4月历史数据的时候,只能使用最初的GDP数据。

如果在4月份,就使用了修正的GDP,就是Look -ahead bias。因为在4月份,根本就不知道这个修正值是多少。



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lxwfj9 · 2024年08月01日

没明白。在4月份,根本就不知道这个修正值是多少。那在4月份,他怎么用修正的GDP呢?像个死循环?

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NO.PZ2023010903000045 问题如下 Leeter tells Clickmabout the interesting investment process of the XTZZ Fun Leeter states thmany times, government- reporteta are revisethree to six months after the ta are initially reporte These revisions then become incorporateinto the historictwith the revisevalue replacing the originally reportevalue. When the revision is incorporate the ta are referreto “cleta.” XTZZ applies its analysis in a manner in whithe originally reporteta exist a laggefactor until the reviseta become available. This approafferentiates XTZZ from fun thuse only the “clean” twhiignore the initially reporteta values.XTZZ’s approato analyzing government-reporteta most likely reces: A.look-ahebi B.survivorship bi C.mol overfitting XTZZ’s approaprevents the use of “revise government ta thare not known when the ta are initially reporte not incorporating revisegovernment ta until they are actually reveale XTZZ reces look-ahebias.B is incorrect. Survivorship bioccurs when analysis on past ta ignores firms thhave ceaseto exist some point ring the analysis perioC is incorrect. Mol overfitting occurs when the mol fits the past ta finng a pre-conceiverelationship (i.e., making the mol specifications biasetowarthe pre-relationship) or when the mol is biasetowarpatterns thare specific only to the past t 老师,可以再一下overfitting bias吗

2024-07-02 21:23 1 · 回答

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2023-07-13 23:44 1 · 回答