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Karen · 2023年07月18日

请问表述二是什么意思

NO.PZ2022122601000013

问题如下:

In forecasting the Danish bonds’ expected rate of return, Perumal notices that Denmark is facing negative short-term rates. He wonders if negative short-term rates will impact market relationships and complicate traditional ways of forecasting rates. Perumal consults Josh Knight, a senior rate strategist at the firm. Knight makes the following general statements about negative interest rates and their implications.

Statement 1: To calculate the expected rate of return of Danish bonds, the observed negative short-term rates shouldn’t be used as the risk-free rate.

Statement 2: For countries facing negative short-term rates, market relationships (e.g., the yield curve) are unlikely to be distorted by other concurrent monetary policy measures.

Which of Josh Knight’s statements regarding negative short-term rates is most likely correct?

选项:

A.Only Statement 1 is correct B.Only Statement 2 is correct C.

Both statements are correct

解释:

Correct Answer: A

Statement 1 is correct. When short-term rates are negative, the long-run equilibrium short-term rate can be used as the risk-free rate, rather than the observed negative rate.

Statement 2 is incorrect. Market relationships (e.g., the yield curve) are likely to be distorted by other concurrent policy measures such as quantitative easing.

中文解析:

表述一是正确的。当短期利率为负时,可以使用长期均衡短期利率作为无风险利率,而不是观察到的负利率。

表述二不正确。市场关系(如收益率曲线)可能会被其他同步的政策措施(如量化宽松)扭曲。

请问表述二是什么意思

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年07月18日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


举个例子吧。当前市场面临负利率。在这种情况下,政府可能实行量化宽松政策。

量化宽松会购买大量债券资产,如果长期债券买多了,那么长期利率就会下降。

那么原本一条陡峭的收益率曲线,就会变成反转的形状。市场关系就被扭曲了。

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NO.PZ2022122601000013问题如下 In forecasting the nish bon’ expecterate of return, Perumalnotices thnmark is facing negative short-term rates. He wonrs ifnegative short-term rates will impamarket relationships ancomplicatetrationways of forecasting rates. Perumconsults Josh Knight, a seniorrate strategist the firm. Knight makes the following generstatementsabout negative interest rates antheir implications.Statement 1: To calculatethe expecterate of return of nish bon, the observenegative short-termrates shoul’t usethe risk-free rate.Statement 2: For countriesfacing negative short-term rates, market relationships (e.g., the yielcurve)are unlikely to storteother concurrent monetary polimeasures.Whiof JoshKnight’s statements regarng negative short-term rates is most likely correct? A.Only Statement 1 is correctB.Only Statement 2 is correctC.Both statements are correct CorreAnswer: A Statement 1 iscorrect. When short-term rates are negative, the long-run equilibrium short-termrate cusethe risk-free rate, rather ththe observenegative rate.Statement 2 isincorrect. Market relationships (e.g., the yielcurve) are likely to stortey other concurrent polimeasures suquantitative easing. 中文解析:表述一是正确的。当短期利率为负时,可以使用长期均衡短期利率作为无风险利率,而不是观察到的负利率。表述二不正确。市场关系(如收益率曲线)可能会被其他同步的政策措施(如量化宽松)扭曲。 负利率的情形中,货币政策可能是失效的,也有可能是有效的,不同的观点都有,所以这个statement 2到底以什么标准判断对错呢?

2024-04-19 08:10 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2022122601000013 问题如下 In forecasting the nish bon’ expecterate of return, Perumalnotices thnmark is facing negative short-term rates. He wonrs ifnegative short-term rates will impamarket relationships ancomplicatetrationways of forecasting rates. Perumconsults Josh Knight, a seniorrate strategist the firm. Knight makes the following generstatementsabout negative interest rates antheir implications.Statement 1: To calculatethe expecterate of return of nish bon, the observenegative short-termrates shoul’t usethe risk-free rate.Statement 2: For countriesfacing negative short-term rates, market relationships (e.g., the yielcurve)are unlikely to storteother concurrent monetary polimeasures.Whiof JoshKnight’s statements regarng negative short-term rates is most likely correct? A.Only Statement 1 is corre B.Only Statement 2 is corre C.Both statements are corre CorreAnswer: A Statement 1 iscorrect. When short-term rates are negative, the long-run equilibrium short-termrate cusethe risk-free rate, rather ththe observenegative rate.Statement 2 isincorrect. Market relationships (e.g., the yielcurve) are likely to stortey other concurrent polimeasures suquantitative easing. 中文解析:表述一是正确的。当短期利率为负时,可以使用长期均衡短期利率作为无风险利率,而不是观察到的负利率。表述二不正确。市场关系(如收益率曲线)可能会被其他同步的政策措施(如量化宽松)扭曲。 1

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