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台风来了 · 2023年07月16日

是否可以如下简化计算?

NO.PZ2023032701000061

问题如下:

Use the following inputs and the finite horizon form of the residual income model to compute the value of Southern Trust Bank (STB) shares as of31 December 2007:

ROE will continue at 15 percent for the next five years (and 10 percent thereafter) with all earnings reinvested (no dividends paid).

Cost of equity equals 10 percent.

B0 = $10 per share (at year-end 2007).

Premium over book value at the end of five years will be 20 percent.

The value would be:

选项:

A.

$15.01

B.

$15.18

C.

$15.39

解释:


在前5年roe恒定为15%,且所有净利润都用来再投资的情况下,是否可以直接计算B5 = B0 * ((1+0.15)^5)/(1.1^5) * 1.2 = 14.98? 即直接B0按15%递增5年,然后按re=10%折现,在乘以premium 1.2。

台风来了 · 2023年07月18日

B5 = B0 * ((1+0.15)^5)/(1.1^5) = 20.113572,最后答案是 B0 * ((1+0.15)^5)/(1.1^5) * 1.2 = 14.986735

2 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年07月18日

同学你好,你的意思是最后把B0和premiuim一起加总是14.9867?

那也不对呢?题目是说5年末的时候,premium的部分就是未来所有PVRI的终值之和的意思,所以最后折现到0时刻,也只需要针对这个20%的premium折现即可

你看答案里面,如果把B0和premium的折现到0时刻的值相加,是等于12.5,而不是14.9867呢

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年07月16日

同学你好,不可以哦。你看表格里面第五年年末的B0计算出来的是20.14,和你计算的B5并不一致啊

另外,因为要计算未来5年的RI,你本身就需要一年一年的把B1到B5全部计算出来,你另外再搞一个公式再计算一遍B5的意义是什么呢?

最后,实在要用公式计算B5的话,应该是直接B5 = B0*1.15^5=20.11,你的公式也不对呢

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