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Yaooo · 2023年05月20日

B?题干没看出来经济走出衰退,

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问题如下:

When assessing investment opportunities in equities, investors should:

选项:

A.

assign higher equity risk premiums to non-cyclical companies, relative to cyclical companies.

B.

forecast lower volatility in the growth rate of earnings for cyclical companies, relative to non-cyclical companies.

C.

forecast higher growth rates in earnings for cyclical companies coming out of a recession, relative to non-cyclical companies.

解释:

C is correct.

During recessions, cyclical companies are likely to experience sharp declines in earnings, more so than non-cyclical companies. In contrast, while coming out of a recession, cyclical companies are likely to generate higher earnings growth relative to non-cyclical companies.

考点:equity risk premium

解析:A,与非周期性行业比,周期性行业对经济周期更敏感,因此面临的风险更大,equity risk premium越高,A的说法错误;

B,周期性行业的收益增长率波动性比非周期性行业更大,B错。

C,当走出经济衰退时,周期性行业收益的增长率更大,因为周期性行业对经济周期更敏感,C正确

题干没说经济走出衰退,而且,如果是非周期股票,如还在高速成长的公司,或许波动更大?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年05月22日

同学你好,经济衰退的描述隐藏在C选项的选项内。并不适用于B选项。B选项描述的是长期普适性的规律,可能偶尔有非周期性公司短期波动更大,但从普遍情况来看,周期性公司经济好的时候更好,差的时候更差。总体而言波动是更大的。