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许诺 · 2022年07月01日

关于拉氏指数高估CPI数值的问题

NO.PZ2017100901000025

问题如下:

A product is part of a price index based on a fixed consumption basket. If, over time, the product’s quality improves while its price stays constant, the measured inflation rate is most likely:

选项:

A.

unaffected.

B.

biased upward.

C.

biased downward.

解释:

B is correct.

As the quality of a product improves, it satisfies peoples needs and wants better. The measured inflation rate is skewed higher than otherwise unless an adjustment is made for the increase in the quality of the good. Even if the goods price had increased over time, the improvements in quality would still bias the measured inflation rate upward.

考点: inflation Measurement

解析:更好质量的产品应该对应更高的价格水平,现在物价水平没有变动,但是质量变好了。

那么经过审慎思考的通胀率( measured inflation rate )就应该上调当前通胀率的数值,以此来反应商品质量的进步。

感谢老师百忙中解答,辛苦了!

请问对本题题干中“商品质量变好,价格保持不变”如何理解?如果价格不变,怎么会有通胀呢?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年07月03日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


举个例子:

之前买一部手机,大概1000元左右,就可以买一台诺基亚手机。

如今买一部手机,大概10000元左右,可以买一台IPhone Pro

如果来衡量通胀,那么手机的价格上涨了10倍,通胀就是10倍。

所以这种衡量方法,相对于合理值,是偏高的,也就是biased upward。

因为IPhone Pro的体验是诺基亚无法比拟的,虽然都是手机,但是商品的质量发生了巨大的改变。


结合本题,商品质量变好,价格没变。既然价格没变,那么没有通胀,同学理解正确。

也就是看数据,通胀为0。

但是通胀为0,是高估还是低估呢,商品质量变好,价格没变,那么可以推理:如果商品质量不变,价格是下跌的。也就是说,实际是通缩。

实际是通缩,数据上通胀为0。数据上是高估了通胀。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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